Sep
30
2019
The 7 months after Anadarko announced it
was buying KMG and WGR in ‘06 were pretty eye opening for the young engineer
named DRW.
I was in Calgary; I
loved my job so much (it is hard to remember how young I was) and all my
friends were people I had met at work. And then... it happened. June 24, 2006.
We announced we were buying not one but two companies for $21b cash! Even
though I had nothing to do with it- I was so...
Sep
29
2019
“Nothing to see here... Please
Disperse!” It’s been 16 days and true to their word, Saudi Arabia ensured
the world oil market didn’t miss a beat. As a result - the ‘disruption
risk premium’ was re-set at $0/bbl and that chapter has been closed.
The timing couldn’t
be better (or worse depending from whose perspective): the last day of Q3 is
today; most companies have been running iterations on the 2020 budget and that
means management teams have realized that a) oil price isn’t going to...
Sep
28
2019
After months of negotiations, reduced
service and special assignments - the Chrysler Town and Country (aka ‘Big
Blue’) has elected to retire.
Said DRW: “It’s a
sad day but his performance had declined to such a level, I could no longer be
convinced of Big Blue’s ability to deliver at the level I expected. Lease
roads are tough on a minivan and really- it probably wasn’t a great fit for his
skill set. After deliberations with the board, we felt it was in the best
interest to...
Sep
27
2019
I think that we should get the engineers at
IKEA to solve climate change. If they can figure out how to break down a
room of furniture into 13 boxes and have the customer put it together with just
wooden dowels, screws, an allen key and pictures, surely they can fix global
warming.
#hottakeoftheday
Sep
26
2019
I like words. It’s why I'm not on Twitter. 280 characters is barely an intro. If you disagree- DM me.
So- in Part 4 (the
conclusion)- I’m excited that I need only one word to summarize my optimism for
the future of O&G: Activism.
#hottakeoftheday
(280)
Sep
25
2019
On Wednesday, the Fed released it’s energy
survey for Q3. Not surprisingly, it posted the worst readings since ‘16.
In today’s post- we face facts. Q4 will be far worse than Q3. I’ll say it again
for effect: FAR WORSE.
At least 100 frac
crews have idled since the spring; HZ rigs are down 180 and are almost at my
700 target; companies HAVE to hit or beat their ‘19 capital so will slow
further and there is no new capital coming into the industry for...
Sep
24
2019
The ingenuity of mankind and the
proliferation of our ideas are simply breathtaking but like anything- there are
side effects to our innovation.
The Manhattan
project brought with it the ability to end war and power the world while
simultaneously creating the ability to destroy it. Acid rain- the result of the
boom in industrial activity was addressed and dramatically reduced with the
Clean Air Act of ‘90; the Montreal protocol of ‘87 addressed the use of CFCs in
refrigeration when they were found to be depleting...
Sep
23
2019
Starting a discussion on the future of
energy with WeWork may be unconventional but it’s topical as a stark contrast
to our business. If they can ‘Elevate the world’s consciousness’ it’s probably
safe for us to say ‘Powering the World’. But even in the age of ESG- we don’t.
We are focused on the survival of our business, not fancy slogans.
But- it’s hard not
to notice a $47b valuation for a company that has never made a profit and would
have made it larger than...
Sep
22
2019
This week, the ‘hottake’ will pivot to a
place I haven’t gone before: optimism! And despite the way some have
interpreted “The Beatings” and “Peak Oil USA”- they are part of a broader
discussion. A discussion of transition; of hope; and of “What Comes
Next?”.
Hamilton fans will
appreciate this week’s tie to last week’s edition of “You’ll be Back” and be
savvy to the fact that musicals often use the same score to share related, but
different messages. Longtime readers of my hottakes will know...
Sep
21
2019
To all my friends impacted by the tropical
storm that decided to visit and outstay it’s welcome in Houston this week: I
hope everything is back to normal and I’m sending you good energy.
To everyone in
Investor Relations: if I read that you have blamed the storm for your missed
production targets in Q3 - I am coming for you. I am long overdue for an
edition of “Press Releases That Make Me Laugh!”
While we are calling
out where the bull went #2- I’m on...