Sep
24
2019
The ingenuity of mankind and the
proliferation of our ideas are simply breathtaking but like anything- there are
side effects to our innovation.
The Manhattan
project brought with it the ability to end war and power the world while
simultaneously creating the ability to destroy it. Acid rain- the result of the
boom in industrial activity was addressed and dramatically reduced with the
Clean Air Act of ‘90; the Montreal protocol of ‘87 addressed the use of CFCs in
refrigeration when they were found to be depleting...
Sep
23
2019
Starting a discussion on the future of
energy with WeWork may be unconventional but it’s topical as a stark contrast
to our business. If they can ‘Elevate the world’s consciousness’ it’s probably
safe for us to say ‘Powering the World’. But even in the age of ESG- we don’t.
We are focused on the survival of our business, not fancy slogans.
But- it’s hard not
to notice a $47b valuation for a company that has never made a profit and would
have made it larger than...
May
15
2019
Saudi Arabian...what are we calling it...sabotage? Iranian sanctions.
Venezuelan supply falling off a cliff. In the good old days, these events would
have driven oil up 10% but with tariff concerns, prices remain in the low 60’s.
With so much noise in China-US trade, quietly and unnoticed, energy companies
are being given a second lease on life (well, some of them).
Budgets were set at $50 oil and activity was front end loaded. Excess cash
is being used for stock buybacks and debt management and...
Feb
18
2019
From my NAPE summary note, a common question arose: “I know the asset market
is dead.... but why?” Here’s my take:
1. Asset acquisitions are about high grading one’s portfolio. To do that,
the key requirement is access to capital. Pubco’s with “tier 2/3” assets can’t
raise capital. Period. Pubco’s with Tier 1 assets have decades in front of them
and don’t need more inventory. Ergo, unless they can use equity, deals aren’t
getting done.
2. Private equity is the ONLY group WITH capital BUT they...
Feb
15
2019
I leave NAPE with pains in my liver but a bounce in my step - which for a
near perma-bear is a dramatic shift! What were my take-always?
1) Water is the new oil. It is, perhaps, the last frontier of “lease and
flip” and is mirroring the trajectory of the horizontal resource play boom.
2) There are a lot of midstream dollars looking for a place to happen and it
feels like we are going to be over built in the near term.
3)...