Aug
21
2019
Dear Completion
Engineers (if you are the boss of one, please stop reading- they are scared of
you, but they need to hear this, Volume 1)
I like to blame
the c-suite for the decisions companies make- but it is the job of technical
people to evaluate data and give analysis. Unfortunately, the current paradigm
is that fear of unemployment exceeds fear of destroying capital. It’s time to
end the cycle of the status quo.
Let’s start
with coil tubing. Seriously. It’s 2019. That is a...
Aug
20
2019
Gratitude is a
hard thing to hold on to. As humans, we are built to move on: move on from death;
move on from failure; move on from sadness. We couldn’t function otherwise.
But with that
incredible ability to pick ourselves up when we are down comes the unintended
consequence of the other side of the coin: the ability to move on from joy;
from success and from what really matters in life. Ask anyone who has ever won
the lottery.
It’s easy to
forget what...
Aug
19
2019
In part because I think we should be modeling
behavior where people can have a discussion without being labeled as a racist,
a sexist or a c-suite-ist, but mostly because I have no ability to keep my
mouth shut... I’m weighing in.
I read a blog on Ms. Hollub that suggested that
perhaps “she” wasn’t getting a fair shake because she is a woman. I’m calling
BS. In this case, gender has absolutely nothing to do with it.
As the unofficial president of the...
Aug
18
2019
I hear a lot of talk about continuous drilling
clauses (CDCs) being to blame for the industry’s “requirement” to keep drilling
- but this just isn’t the case- which puts the focus solely on the activity in
Texas where CDCs are real. In other states - companies are drilling, in part,
because they are too afraid to stop (a topic for another day).
However, for companies with assets in Texas - it
does beg the question - how many millions of dollars are poured...
Aug
17
2019
“What’s the most out of touch thing you heard at EnerCom this week?” #hotquestionoftheweek
I must admit - it wasn’t said directly to me
(probably for fear of being publicly shamed) but someone said “the industry
needed to increase production to meet rising demand.” Dude- are you high?!?
The response.... If demand is rising, it is on
the back of a massive wealth transfer from producers to consumers in the form
of uneconomic wells that industry insists on drilling year after year. It’s
like a...
Aug
16
2019
Today - we are going to change pace from the
sadness that is oil and gas. Is it just me or is the President the only
president in history that doesn’t look way older than he did in 2016?? It could
also be that everyone else in the world has aged 12 years since he got elected-
so relatively speaking, only he and Keith Richards somehow look younger. Just
saying.
PS. Every Board should have an immediate audit
done of your company’s spacing assumptions. If...
Aug
15
2019
EnerCom Day 3 and let’s be honest, it was a tough week to have an Oil and Gas Investing conference. You could have announced that you had found a leprechaun that manufactured gold laden rainbows and you would have traded down 10%. There are no unicorns. There is no tooth fairy. And the light at the end of the tunnel... that’s a train.
I think we can all acknowledge the elephant
in the room: this isn’t some climate change, woe...
Aug
14
2019
Day 2 of the EnerCom conference and I actually felt bad for
some (most) of the CEOs. You can tell they are up there just saying “please
don’t make me do this...”
Harold Hamm was the keynote speaker of the day and of
course, I’m going to cherry pick his perspective that he sees land rigs falling
another 12% from here. That’s funny- so do I!!
But let’s not wallow in the difficulty of the market. It’s
time for another edition of “press releases...
Aug
13
2019
Day 1 of EnerCom is behind us and you know when seeing Dave Chappelle outside of The Capital Grille was the investing highlight - it’s been a tough day. But seriously... No. Seriously. The most apt description of the presentations I heard was: “It was just sad.”
At the coffee station, the most common question
was “why are they growing production??” while on the stage, it was clear that
some teams weren’t getting the message. It’s no wonder shares continue to...
Aug
12
2019
Did you know that 14.5% of man made carbon emissions are related to food. World wide livestock production creates more carbon emissions than transportation does. How crazy is that?
Here’s another fun fact - it takes 9 calories of grains to make 1 calorie of chicken meat. And they are the most efficient animal we eat.
What is the carbon footprint of our insatiable appetite for our phones and social media? How about all the data...